After the close, Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · Gemini 3.8 Flash · quant model v3 · lessons v0
KSE-100 Drops for 5th Day to 164,776 as Political Jitters and IMF Inflation View Weigh
The KSE-100 Index shed 348 points to close at 164,776.44 on Tuesday, extending Monday's steep sell-off amid domestic political uncertainty and an IMF report lifting inflation projections to 9.9%. Market liquidity remained subdued with weekly average traded value slipping to Rs 16.4bn, well below the three-month average of Rs 27.9bn. While cement manufacturers found localized support from cement bag prices nearing Rs 2,000, heavyweights across banking and exploration continued to face supply. In the upcoming sessions, investors will watch for stabilization near technical support and clues from political developments.
What it is doing differently: As this is the initial set of calls with no graded track record yet, confidence levels are kept strictly modest between 57% and 63% to avoid uncalibrated overconfidence.
Calls for the next 5 sessions
- MACFL▼ Lower in 5 sessions
MACPAC Films Limited · PAPER, BOARD & PACKAGING
63%Quant model: 50% to beat the median stockRs 112.61 at the call(0.0% since)Severely overstretched rally is vulnerable to steep profit-taking following an aggressive parabolic run.
Surged 61.1% over the week to 112.6, pinning RSI at an extreme 83.9 at the top of its 52-week range with PE multiple stretched to 51.2.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - NBP▼ Lower in 5 sessions
National Bank of Pakistan · COMMERCIAL BANKS
61%Quant model: 48% to beat the median stockRs 156.14 at the call(0.0% since)Continued heavy liquidation in state banking names amid broader sector drag and fragile sentiment.
Shed 3.5% in a week and 12% in a month to 156.1, trading at just 0.7% of its 52-week range with RSI at 27.1 and quant_p_beat at 48%.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - LUCK▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Lucky Cement Limited · CEMENT
60%Quant model: 50% to beat the median stockRs 395.95 at the call(0.0% since)Benefiting from nationwide cement price hikes towards Rs 2,000/bag and finding support after an oversold stretch.
RSI is oversold at 30.9 after a 3.5% weekly dip to 396; news of cement prices nearing Rs 2,000/bag provides fundamental support against further downside.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - SAZEW▼ Lower in 5 sessions
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited · AUTOMOBILE ASSEMBLER
59%Quant model: 47% to beat the median stockRs 1,555.72 at the call(0.0% since)Persistent selling pressure and breakdown to multi-month lows indicate continuing downward momentum.
Down 4.0% this week and 12.6% over a month to 1,555.7; price sits at 0.6% of 52-week range with quant_p_beat at a subdued 47%.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - PSO▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Pakistan State Oil Company Limited · OIL & GAS MARKETING COMPANIES
58%Quant model: 49% to beat the median stockRs 360.66 at the call(0.0% since)Shows steady relative strength and accumulation ahead of its book closure for a 100% cash dividend.
Gained 3% over the week and 6% over a month with turnover ratio at 1.2x 3-month pace; books close Oct 21 for 100% dividend.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - POL▼ Lower in 5 sessions
Pakistan Oilfields Limited · OIL & GAS EXPLORATION COMPANIES
57%Quant model: 49% to beat the median stockRs 666.09 at the call(0.0% since)Post-dividend ex-date hangover and softer global crude benchmarks maintain downward pressure on price.
Plunged 13.3% in a week to 666.1; books closed Oct 13 for massive 725% dividend while Brent crude softened below $105/barrel.
Open, graded after 5 sessions