AI picks: best buys and must sells
Every weekday after the close, an AI model reads a table of the 150 most traded PSX shares (returns, trend, valuation, results, payouts and filings) and names its best buys and must sells. Earlier picks are tracked against the price at the pick.
The KSE-100 closed at 168,580 on 2026-10-07, roughly flat over the week after a 2,288-point plunge on political noise on 10-05 and a 2,593-point rally on easing political concerns on 10-06. Participation is thin: only 19% of stocks rose over the week, and traded value fell to Rs 18.4bn a day against Rs 29.5bn over three months. Refineries are the lone strong sector (up 9.3% in a month), while transport, property and power lag.
Updated 7 Oct, 17:30 PKT · data to 2026-10-07 · 150 most traded stocks
Refiners and dividend-paying E&Ps hold up in a weak, low-volume tape, and several big payout book closures fall due around 10-09 to 10-13. Broken names with falling volume and heavy weekly losses remain ones to avoid.
Best buys
- NRL
National Refinery Limited
Rs 641.77+4.03% today0.0% since pick (Rs 641.77)Up 7.6% in a week and 26.3% in a month, sitting at the top of its 52-week range with RSI 74 and 7.4% of market value.
- Catalysts:
- Sector-wide refinery momentum and a material filing in the last month.
- Risks:
- RSI 74 is overbought, so a sharp pullback is possible.
- POL
Pakistan Oilfields Limited
Rs 769.91+0.19% today0.0% since pick (Rs 769.91)Up 2% in a week at a 52-week high on 1.3x normal volume, RSI 76.
- Catalysts:
- Books close 10-13 for a 725% final cash dividend, with a 14.5% dividend yield.
- Risks:
- The price usually drops after the stock goes ex-dividend.
- ATRL
Attock Refinery Limited
Rs 1,218.69+1.23% today0.0% since pick (Rs 1,218.69)Up 2.8% in a week and 11.8% in a month at a 52-week high, RSI 66.5, with latest-quarter EPS up 566% year on year.
- Catalysts:
- Books close 10-13 for a 150% final cash dividend.
- Risks:
- Volume is only 0.5x normal.
- PRL
Pakistan Refinery Limited
Rs 94.32−0.06% today0.0% since pick (Rs 94.32)The most traded stock at 11.8% of market value, up 1.4% in a week and 145% over 3 months, RSI 58.
- Catalysts:
- Continued refinery sector strength.
- Risks:
- After such a big run, its 61.6% one-month volatility is high.
Must sell
- PIBTL
Pakistan International Bulk Terminal
Rs 13.51−0.44% today0.0% since pick (Rs 13.51)Down 8% in a week on 1.4x normal volume, RSI 29.7, 14.9% below its SMA50.
- Catalysts:
- Selling pressure is continuing ahead of its AGM on 10-27.
- Risks:
- Oversold conditions could trigger a bounce.
- PSX
Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited
Rs 41.96−1.06% today0.0% since pick (Rs 41.96)Down 9.7% in a week and 13.9% below its SMA50 as market turnover collapses.
- Catalysts:
- Daily traded value is down to Rs 18.4bn from Rs 29.5bn.
- Risks:
- A return of volume would lift exchange earnings.
- NPL
Nishat Power Limited
Rs 55.74+1.25% today0.0% since pick (Rs 55.74)Down 8.9% in a week, 14.1% below its SMA50, RSI 30.5.
- Catalysts:
- Books close 10-16, after which the stock goes ex-dividend.
- Risks:
- An oversold bounce is possible.
- GAL
Ghandhara Automobiles Limited
Rs 505.71+1.09% today0.0% since pick (Rs 505.71)Down 7.4% in a week and 18% in a month, RSI 28.6.
- Catalysts:
- Headline: 'Govt to Punish Car Makers for Missing Export Targets Under New 5-Year Policy'.
- Risks:
- The stock is deeply oversold.
How earlier this week picks did (price now vs at the pick)
| Picked | Buys, average | Buys up | Sells, average | Sells down |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct, 17:47 | +0.8% | 60% | +1.8% | 40% |
| 5 Oct, 17:49 | +3.5% | 100% | +4.3% | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 02:32 | +3.1% | 100% | −1.9% | 50% |
AI-generated by anthropic/claude-opus-5-5 from PSX prices and trading volumes, company financials, results and payouts, upcoming book closures and the week's business news. It can be wrong, does not know your situation and is not investment advice; check the company page and the latest filings before you trade. Updated once each trading day after the close.
AI picks are a data experiment, not recommendations. They can be wrong, and past picks do not predict future ones. Always do your own research.