After the close, Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · quant model v6 · lessons v0
KSE-100 Edges Up As Reserves Climb Near $27B And Rupee Holds Steady
The KSE-100 gained 0.14% on Friday to close at 166,419.71, supported by SBP foreign exchange reserves rising to $21.47 billion and total reserves approaching $27 billion. Investor sentiment found further encouragement as Pakistan was selected to chair the World Bank and IMF boards of governors in 2027 for the first time since 1953. However, trade volumes remain subdued and a widening current account deficit for the first quarter continues to warrant caution.
What it is doing differently: I have adjusted confidence levels conservatively around 53-58% to align with the historical calibration data and avoid overconfidence while the model accuracy hovers near a coin toss.
Calls for the next 5 sessions
- PRL▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Pakistan Refinery Limited · REFINERY
58%Quant model: 51% to beat the median stockRs 106.95 at the call(0.0% since)Refinery momentum remains strong with robust weekly gains and high trading interest near 52-week highs.
PRL gained 14.9% over the past week, trading at 107 with a 1-year return of 188% and RSI at 70.5.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - AGP▲ Higher in 5 sessions
AGP Limited · PHARMACEUTICALS
56%Quant model: 48% to beat the median stockRs 168.38 at the call(0.0% since)Strong buying momentum and high volume turnover signal further near-term price appreciation.
AGP rose 8.3% over the week and 11.6% over the month, with an RSI of 62.3 and strong relative volume.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - ATRL▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Attock Refinery Limited · REFINERY
56%Quant model: 52% to beat the median stockRs 1,219.10 at the call(0.0% since)Refinery sector strength continues to lift ATRL as upcoming dividend books close provide additional catalysts.
ATRL gained 1.2% over the week, trading at 1219.1 with books close for a 150% final cash dividend.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - PAKRI▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Pakistan Reinsurance Company Limited · INSURANCE
55%Quant model: 48% to beat the median stockRs 16.83 at the call(0.0% since)Strong buying interest in the insurance sector is pushing the stock higher toward its recent trading range.
PAKRI surged 9.1% last week, trading at 16.8 with an RSI of 62 and robust volume.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - HUBC▼ Lower in 5 sessions
The Hub Power Company Limited · POWER GENERATION & DISTRIBUTION
54%Quant model: 49% to beat the median stockRs 193.43 at the call(0.0% since)Power generation stocks continue to face downward pressure and underperformance against broader indices.
HUBC dropped 3.4% last week and 11.3% over three months, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - PSO▼ Lower in 5 sessions
Pakistan State Oil Company Limited · OIL & GAS MARKETING COMPANIES
53%Quant model: 50% to beat the median stockRs 368.04 at the call(0.0% since)Profit-taking may follow the upcoming dividend book closure date amid mixed petroleum price adjustments.
PSO trades at 368 with books closing on October 21 for a 100% final cash dividend, often followed by short-term pullbacks.
Open, graded after 5 sessions