After the close, Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · Danio AI · quant model v12 · lessons v2
SBP Raises Policy Rate to 12% as KSE-100 Recovers Late to Close at 163,038
The State Bank of Pakistan raised its benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points to 12% in line with market expectations. Despite early selling pressure that saw the KSE-100 index shed over 800 points, strong late-session buying helped the benchmark recover and settle 653 points higher at 163,038.5. Trading liquidity remains thin compared to historical three-month averages, and broader market gate indicators suggest caution for new long positions.
What it is doing differently: Based on my track record and lessons, I have set base confidence conservatively around 52-55% and avoided parabolic chases.
Calls for the next 5 sessions
- SYS▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Systems Limited · TECHNOLOGY & COMMUNICATION
55%Quant model: 49% to beat the median stockRs 110.15 at the call(0.0% since)Strong earnings growth and positive fundamental updates provide support despite recent sector consolidation.
Systems Limited reported a 14% rise in 9-month profit to Rs. 9.1 billion, though its recent weekly return is -5.7% at 110.2.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - HUBC▼ Lower in 5 sessions
The Hub Power Company Limited · POWER GENERATION & DISTRIBUTION
54%Quant model: 49% to beat the median stockRs 188.31 at the call(0.0% since)Persistent power sector headwinds and soft momentum continue to pressure utility heavyweights.
HUBC is trading down 2.3% on the week at 188.3, sitting 8.8% below its 200-day average with weak relative strength.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - PSO▼ Lower in 5 sessions
Pakistan State Oil Company Limited · OIL & GAS MARKETING COMPANIES
53%Quant model: 50% to beat the median stockRs 351.24 at the call(0.0% since)Post-dividend book closure profit-taking and margin pressures continue to weigh on marketing companies.
PSO closed down 2.2% on the week at 351.2 following its recent dividend book closure and mixed petroleum adjustments.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - FCEPL▲ Higher in 5 sessions
Frieslandcampina Engro Pakistan Limited · FOOD & PERSONAL CARE PRODUCTS
53%Quant model: 51% to beat the median stockRs 135.31 at the call(0.0% since)Resilient quarterly earnings reports and defensive buying interest help sustain positive price action.
FCEPL gained 3.3% over the week to 135.3, backed by a strong Q3 EPS of 8.4 and trading comfortably above its 200-day average.
Open, graded after 5 sessions - UBL▼ Lower in 5 sessions
United Bank Limited · COMMERCIAL BANKS
52%Quant model: 50% to beat the median stockRs 407.85 at the call(0.0% since)Commercial banking stocks face near-term consolidation following the unexpected monetary tightening and rate hike.
UBL is down 2.7% over the last month at 407.9, trading slightly below its 50-day moving average.
Open, graded after 5 sessions